“So where should I buy?” It’s the question I get more than any other from people looking to invest in Japanese short-term rental property. And my honest answer is always the same: it depends on what you’re optimising for. Each of Japan’s three major hospitality markets — Tokyo, Kyoto, and Osaka — has a genuinely different risk/return profile. After running guesthouse operations across a few of these cities and spending too many late nights in spreadsheets, here’s how I actually think about it.
If you’ve been looking at buying a small hotel, guesthouse, or minpaku property in Japan, the yield numbers in the sales brochure probably looked pretty good. Maybe 8%. Maybe 12%. Maybe someone used the word “cap rate” and your eyes lit up.
I’ve been operating hospitality properties in Japan for several years, and I can tell you: the number on the brochure and the number that hits your bank account are often very different. Not because anyone is lying — though some are — but because the gross yield calculation that gets thrown around leaves out a significant chunk of real operating costs. Here’s how to think about it properly.